Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000052 0.000059 0.000066
2024-10-20 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080
2024-10-27 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000046 0.000059 0.000074 0.000094
2024-11-03 0.000018 0.000025 0.000033 0.000045 0.000060 0.000080 0.000105
2024-11-10 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000120
2024-11-17 0.000014 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000068 0.000095 0.000134
2024-11-24 0.000013 0.000021 0.000032 0.000048 0.000071 0.000103 0.000148
2024-12-01 0.000012 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000072 0.000107 0.000158
2024-12-08 0.000010 0.000018 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000110 0.000168
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000017 0.000028 0.000047 0.000075 0.000117 0.000181
2024-12-22 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000079 0.000126 0.000198
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028 0.000049 0.000082 0.000132 0.000212
2025-01-05 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000050 0.000086 0.000141 0.000231
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000027 0.000049 0.000086 0.000144 0.000239
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000049 0.000088 0.000151 0.000255
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000049 0.000089 0.000155 0.000266
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000050 0.000093 0.000164 0.000286
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000096 0.000172 0.000305
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000099 0.000181 0.000324
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000011 0.000024 0.000051 0.000100 0.000184 0.000335
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000011 0.000023 0.000050 0.000100 0.000187 0.000346
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000102 0.000195 0.000363
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000024 0.000052 0.000107 0.000206 0.000389